Cloud Computing: How Much Can It Change IT?
There have been many debates on the potentials of cloud computing and how it can change the IT. Some say it’s the future of IT and everyone and every enterprise will have to go with it; others say it’s a hype and just another name for already vanished on-demand computing, utility computing.
So which will be the trend? Or should we take a middle ground between these two?
While predicting the future, we tend to look back and try to leverage historical data. I bet you have seen many such analysis that draw different conclusions. History can be interpreted differently.
In this article, I would like to take a different approach — make an analogy between cloud computing and office rental business, and then predict the future of cloud computing from what’s today in office rental business.
Technology wise, cloud computing and office rental are two totally different things. Business wise, they are actually very similar. Whatever benefits of cloud computing can be found in office rental, for example, no initial capital investment in building either office or data center.
Although new technology companies get started and make impact on many things, the fundamentals of business haven’t changed. You still use the same balance sheets to evaluate high tech companies just like the blue chip companies. When making decisions, companies base more on business than on technology. That’s why I can make a safe analogy here.
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